How badly positioned are the Democrats right now?
What would happen if this cache proves to contain chemical or biological ordinance? Is it far fetched? I say not far fetched but maybe not likely. What this did was start me thinking about the entire WMD issue again. I like to think of myself as a thinking person who can separate opinions from facts. When I do this on the WMD issue, I get a real disconnect between what I think is today's conventional wisdom and the conventional wisdom of the past...and I don't like it.
Why? Because every intelligence agency in the world was convinced that Iraq had WMDs - all of them. I still find it hard to believe that all of them were wrong. I know that this is hardly the time to be taking this kind of stand, but the possibility that the CIA was wrong, I can accept, but the possibility that every intelligence service everywhere was wrong begins to look pretty remote. In fact it begins to look just about impossibly remote. Tenet's 'slam dunk' comment has been ridculed...even here...but my head is just not in this. Truth be told...it never was.
Reason and rationality tells me that something is terribly wrong when conventional wisdom which is so widely believed and understood, is that much in error. It is like the elephant in the room that no one wants to talk about - always in the way and always there but very carefully ignored by everyone. "Which is more likely", I ask myself. "That every intelligence agency was wrong, or that Saddam knew we were coming and found a way to hide the stuff he didn't want us to find." My mind tells me that it is more likely that he hid it. Of course after this period of time you would think that anything hidden would have been found...but that is obviously NOT the case.
The Iraqis just discovered a huge weapons cache in Tikrit...so far it has yielded 4,200 shells. These shells have been removed from one mound in a field with hundreds of mounds. How did they get in this field? Obviously someone buried them there...but one would have to think that this type of volume would have to be buried before the war began. To be finding this size of cache at this stage in the conflict is nothing short of astounding.
What would happen if WMDs were discovered at this late a date in Iraq? I can't pretend to be surprised by the possibility since every intelligence agency had been predicting they were there. What would happen politically? What are the chances that this was all an elaborate Democrat trap? The ultimate 'rope-a-dope'. That Karl Rove again...
My God! Nothing I had read prepared me for this!
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